Introduces Inherited Local Shrinkage, a Bayesian global‑local shrinkage framework for adaptive functional form discovery via DAG‑based hierarchical shrinkage.
Stat arXiv of the Last Week — 29 Oct–5 Nov 2026
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Proposes group sequential ADDIS-Spending algorithm to control FWER online in multi-stage platform trials.
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The paper introduces a Spider Network Filtering Framework to encode interactions for logistic decision-making in bank acquisition analysis.
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Introduces a Bayesian latent space hidden Markov model to cluster longitudinal multilayer networks with regime-specific latent configurations.
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Provides an exact Poisson mixture representation for Siler remaining life expectancy.
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Unifies various reweighting schemes for stratified path sampling, showing they share common underlying estimator.
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Introduces a tractable state‑space chain‑ladder model with exponential seniority weighting and closed‑form uncertainty calculations.
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Critiques predictive-fit metrics for marketing mix models and proposes using experimental benchmarks for model selection.
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Estimates time-varying extreme value index using a ratio‑form kernel Hill estimator and constructs confidence bands for risk measures.
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PFNs estimate posterior inclusion probabilities for variable selection in Bayesian networks without posterior sampling.
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The paper evaluates clinical trial simulators' interventional validity using an intervention-blind test on thousands of trials.
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Develops a competing risks framework to model correct, incorrect, and unfinished token completion under budget constraints.
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Proposes doubly robust win statistics for hierarchical survival endpoints in individual and cluster-randomized trials.
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We use conformal prediction to generate diagnosis sets from incomplete Parkinsonian clinical records.
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The paper introduces a regularized local Whittle estimator for long‑memory parameters in density time series via Bayes Hilbert space.
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Uses exponential random graph models to analyze influence ties among jazz trumpet players.
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Introduces Balance-Guided Forest to jointly learn covariate balancing and tree-based representation for causal effect estimation.
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Provides a unified approximation framework for inventory and assortment optimization under general choice models.
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Develops a Vecchia‑based Gaussian process framework for scalable analysis of large replicated and censored data.
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Implement four-level structured functional PCA for unbalanced hierarchical data using memory‑efficient covariance estimators.
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Develops Bayesian superpopulation models to estimate diabetes prevalence from multi‑site EHR data, evaluating ANOVA, geographic, and MRP approaches.
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The paper evaluates simple household fuel purchase strategies across different price volatility models.
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Learns componentwise transport maps via annealing paths to improve multimodal sampling and Bayesian inference efficiency.
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Proves geometric ergodicity of a three‑block Gibbs sampler for Bayesian linear mixed models with scale‑mixture random effects.
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Presents a non‑parametric kernel estimator of mixed covariance density between point process and random field for dependence testing.
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Develops a regime‑aware survival estimator that recovers true effects when post‑progression treatment schedules are provided.
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The paper evaluates facility proxy strata for variance estimation and confounding adjustment in claims data without identifiers.
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Product Monte Carlo estimates expectations under a product of densities using only factor samples, via regression and Bayesian uncertainty.
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Adapts reliability engineering methods to define AI system failures and proposes a diagnostic framework with statistical measurement guidance.
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Develops optimal distribution‑free sequential changepoint detectors using conformal martingales with minimax‑optimal delay bounds.
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Develops an EM algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation and imputation of missing values in wrapped elliptically symmetric torus data.
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Introduces curvature-calibrated quasi-Bayesian updating to improve moment‑restricted posterior approximation.
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Provides a fully conjugate Bayesian hierarchical framework for covariate selection in exponential family GLMs with posterior consistency and Gibbs sampling.
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Provides a model‑agnostic statistical framework to audit privacy disclosures in synthetic data via hypothesis testing.
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Empirically compares 56 stochastic optimizers for tuning‑free variational inference across diverse Bayesian problems.
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Anchor PCA modifies PCA target matrix to obtain shared low-rank embeddings across domains.
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The paper establishes that predictors based on invariant stable blankets achieve worst-case optimal risk in prediction-intervention games.
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Demonstrates that any distribution‑free prediction set for ITEs necessarily has infinite expected length.
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Derive first-order bias bounds for stochastic gradient MCMC invariant measures using Gaussian convolution inequalities.
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Provides exact parametric tests and confidence intervals for type‑I censored Weibull reliability data.
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Introduces a scalable generalized deep Gaussian process framework for emulating simulators with heteroskedastic and non‑Gaussian outputs.
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The paper proposes a hybrid GAT and latent Gaussian spatial process for spatio-temporal risk mapping.
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Optimal estimation of generalized causal effects in cluster-randomized trials with multiple outcomes
Develops weighted clustered U‑statistic estimators for generalized causal effects across multiple outcomes in cluster‑randomized trials.
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Introduces a goal-oriented sequential Bayesian experimental design using variational inference and amortized policy networks for causal quantity estimation.
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Recurrent networks automatically learn changepoint penalty parameters from raw sequences.
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RCOMPSs provides a scalable task-based runtime for parallel execution of R code on multicore and manycore systems.
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Introduces a global‑local Dirichlet‑process clustering framework for high‑dimensional function coefficients with spatially correlated errors, implemented via MCMC.
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The paper introduces a label‑free churn prediction score based on six‑step propagation of ergodic Markov chains in social networks.
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Introduces a shrinkage-prior based generalized Bayes method with block SGMCMC for scalable inference in high-dimensional implicit generative models.
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Introduces post-stratified importance sampling using Gaussian process regression and heavy‑tailed density estimation to improve variance and uncertainty quantification.
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Introduces an exchangeable particle Gibbs sampler for discretised Markov jump processes, improving mixing efficiency for Bayesian inference on reaction networks.
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Proposes a model-based bootstrap to improve end-to-end digital twin prediction accuracy and coverage.
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Introduces a Hidden Markov Ising model with exogenous covariates, using pseudolikelihood for scalable temporal network inference.
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Derives exact distributions for prior‑informed stepwise SNP selection in GWAS.
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The paper reviews multifidelity techniques for scalable risk and reliability analysis using control variates, importance sampling, and active learning.
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MambaPFN pretrains a Transformer to amortically select nonlinear variables using posterior inclusion probabilities.
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Derives cluster‑adjusted standardized mean differences from Bayesian multilevel location‑scale models via partial pooling.
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The paper introduces bootstrap re‑selection procedures to quantify coefficient uncertainty after Lasso‑selected Cox model fitting.
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Develops a Bayesian changepoint detection method with a decision score to prioritize district heating faults.
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Presents a geometry‑driven framework for directional statistics and related estimation methods in signal processing.
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Develops a Bayesian Gamma-based method to aggregate incomplete reliability data for fusion devices.
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The study applies competing risks Cox models to analyze soccer coach turnover in Serie A.
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Derives detection limits for finite versus infinite population size via profiling and likelihood ratio analysis.
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Derives exact MISE-based and smoothed cross‑validation bandwidth selectors for Dirichlet kernel density estimation on the simplex.
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The paper outlines conditions under which complete-case regression yields consistent causal effect estimates using DAGs and weighting.
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The paper introduces calibrated upper L‑statistics for high‑dimensional mean change‑point testing with adaptive rank aggregation.
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Provides a model-assisted covariate-adjusted estimator for time‑restricted marginal win statistics with guaranteed asymptotic efficiency.
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The paper reviews recent Bayesian small area estimation methods, including EBLUP and hierarchical Bayes, for area and unit level parameters.
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Introduces a Bezier‑surface Gaussian Process to model wafer‑level chip warpage using low‑dimensional control points.
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Reviews how machine learning and uncertainty quantification integrate into real-time decision-making pipelines for digital twins.
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Provide a debiased one-step estimator for physics parameters via semiparametric influence functions.
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Evaluates bounded-memory calibration effects on forecast interval coverage during recurring high‑volatility states.
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Introduces deterministic uniformization EM algorithm for interval‑censored multistate transition model estimation and latent trajectory inference.
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Introduces an iterated neural estimator for nonparametric GARCH modeling with finite-sample error bounds.
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Estimates canopy cover fraction using inverse-probability weighting and validates with a Cramér‑von Mises test.
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Provides minimax detection rates for regression and GLMs under differential privacy.
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Formulates weighted, regularized isotonic regression on graphs as a sparse generalized lasso with a quadratic program dual.
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The paper demonstrates ML-based counterfactual prediction using large tax records to validate workforce training program effects via digital twins.
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Implements sparse matrix exponential action to compute phylogenetic likelihoods efficiently for large state spaces.
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Provides theoretical bounds and algorithmic analysis for multi-modal Laplace approximations in Bayesian sampling.
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Introduces a resolution‑adaptive transformer for solar irradiance forecasting and temporal downscaling.
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The paper evaluates q‑Gaussian weight and likelihood priors for Bayesian neural groundwater inversion.
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The paper develops ML models using regime-conditional Granger and Student‑t HMMs to predict factor predictability decay.
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It proposes a signal-processing cascade linking satellite temperature, genomic variation, and mortality risk.
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Compares Gompertz‑Makeham and related mortality models using chi‑square tests on age‑specific death data.
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Reviews mortality prediction models for heart failure patients using statistical, machine learning, and deep learning methods.
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Provides identifiability conditions for a three‑state lexical dynamics model using aggregate corpus counts and a temporal network.
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Develops a sequential Monte Carlo method for Bayesian estimation of age‑specific transmission in dynamic epidemic models.
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Compares quantile regression models and calibration techniques for reliable electricity price interval forecasts.
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Uses LLM to elicit behavioral priors for agent-based Bitcoin flash‑crash simulators and performs causal analysis.
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Introduces scalable variational Gaussian process frameworks to correct preferential sampling for high‑resolution urban temperature mapping.
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A cross‑state framework uses gradient‑boosted classifiers to detect and estimate under‑reported wildlife‑vehicle collisions from crash data.
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Develops identification assumptions and statistical tests for causal effects in self‑controlled case series using case‑only data.
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Defines causal effects for multiple binary treatments via odds-scaling counterfactuals and constructs efficient estimators under minimal divergence constraints.
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Introduces axiomatic learning structures and transformation ranking for structure recovery from noisy data.
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Develops a state‑space OU model with measurement error for longitudinal microbiome compositional data.
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Constructs calibrated prediction regions for dependent censored lifetimes using conformal prediction.
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Derives sharp identified intervals for survival model risk differences without target outcomes using bounded log-odds shifts.
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Reconciles AIPW, TMLE, and double machine learning via shared nuisance modeling on real and synthetic data.
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Characterize when stationary ergodic Markov chains satisfy a √n-CLT via finite Poisson equation solutions.
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Introduces a penalised maximum likelihood method with coordinate-wise algorithm for unmixing random density mixtures in Bayes Hilbert spaces.
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Introduces a robust outlier detection method for mixed continuous and ordinal data using latent Gaussian modeling.
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Presents semiparametric techniques for efficient, robust estimation in the symmetric location problem.
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The paper formalizes cluster-based missingness graphs and provides graphical conditions for recoverability of joint distributions and macro causal effects.
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Introduces the Pivotal Information Criterion, a continuous model selection method with asymptotically pivotal penalty.
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Quantifies draw non‑uniformity and implements a workable integer‑programming solution.
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It provides a two-stage Bayesian method for sequential updating of spatial fragility fields using Probit‑Normal priors and GP‑ordered probit.
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Implements latent space graph-fused LASSO with ADMM and Langevin dynamics for Bayesian clustering of attributed graphs.
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Introduces regression discontinuity designs for causal inference in observational medical studies.
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Clarifies and reformulates the no‑anticipation assumption in difference‑in‑differences causal inference.
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Estimates the posterior distribution of the modal age at death using Poisson modeling and random-walk priors.
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DEEM provides a debiased estimating equation for robust, efficient Mendelian randomization using many correlated SNPs.
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Introduces computational equivalence and new samplers for Bayesian spatial regression models, improving inference and scalability.
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Develops a CAVI algorithm for mean-field variational Bayesian scalar-on-function regression and a global test for functional effects.
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Blends AI and physics ensemble forecasts to boost UK weather forecast skill via CRPS analysis.
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Derives sparsity‑based co‑sufficient weights for weighted Holm and BH multiple‑testing procedures.
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Develops a semiparametric estimator for missing-not-at-random data integration using instrumental variables and cross‑fitted orthogonal equations.
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Estimates observation-specific bias and variance in latent-variable regression using Gaussian processes.
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Derives minimax MSE bounds for estimating shared treatment effects under limited overlap using functional models.
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Constructs spatial sampling designs with equal inclusion probabilities that yield different prediction risk rankings.
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Introduces a hierarchically weighted conformal prediction engine for auditable per‑cell interval predictions in battery SOH monitoring.
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Provides positive‑semidefinite covariance estimators for sample L‑moments with faster rank‑prefix algorithms.
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Provides a unified uncertainty quantification framework for topological treatment effects with confidence bands and prediction intervals.
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RW-DPO introduces reliability-weighted DPO with a minimax penalty to robustly learn from noisy preference data.
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The study uses ICP-MS mineral profiles and machine learning to discriminate Beaujolais wine crus.
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Provides a unified lemma and eigenvalue-based proof for identifying shocks via heteroskedasticity patterns.
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Constructs admissible e-value contracts that incentivize truthful parameter reporting under nuisance uncertainty.
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Proposes a three-stage transfer learning estimator for PDE solution operators using instrumental variables and sparse calibration.
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Introduces Source Projection Transfer to calibrate survival predictions via projected source scores onto target models.
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Develop balancing estimators for continuous treatments via continuity and basis function criteria, with variance efficiency guarantees.
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Proposes a GLM for covariate effects on the quantile correlation coefficient of bivariate outcomes.
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Proposes marginal effect measures to interpret stochastic actor-oriented network model parameters.
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Analyzes information boundaries in loss reserving using paid triangles to quantify reserve uncertainty.
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It provides a scalable approximate method to combine subposterior distributions for distributed Bayesian inference.
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Demonstrates quantum amplitude amplification to increase probability of rare simulation outcomes.
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Provides a spectral hypergraph cycle enumeration method for efficient planted k‑XOR inference.
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Combines marginal and conditional evidence to test global null of zero means in correlated Gaussian data.
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Learns a smeared density ratio to define signal regions without strong signal or background assumptions.
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Proposes fuzzy entropic triple k-means for clustering three-way data arrays via entropy-regularized fuzzy membership and block centroids.
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Proposes a discordance-based sensitivity model for DiD, linking parallel pretrends to alternative imputations via expected ATT distance.
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Proposes budgeted BONuS-GA to control finite-sample FDR in distributed network multiple testing with limited communication.
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They compare and improve GEDI waveform simulation against ALS data to reduce bias in forest height estimates.
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Estimates correlated gravitational‑wave detector noise spectral density via a matrix‑gamma process prior and MCMC.
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Derives closed-form vector-sum rules for perceived vertical orientation from line angles.
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Uses large language models with in-context learning to impute missing responses in public opinion surveys.
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Develops identifiability analysis methods for partially observed stochastic processes using trajectories and density data.
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Provides an R package (INLAvaan) for fast approximate Bayesian structural equation modelling using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation.
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Introduces a bias‑free rotation method for latent representations with oracle‑level inference guarantees.
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Integrates design-based calibration with Fay‑Herriot small area estimation using incomplete auxiliary data.
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The paper proposes a scalable framework for causal mediation analysis in large DAGs with multiple treatments and mediators.
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Integrates an AE ontology into a zero‑inflated negative binomial model for ADR detection with a data‑thinning validation technique.
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Reviews rerandomization theory, simulates finite‑sample performance, and provides a practitioner guide.
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Provides a concise mathematical introduction to Monte Carlo methods and their algorithmic foundations.
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We develop semiparametric efficient two-stage estimators for causal excursion effects with robustness to nuisance model misspecification.
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Constructs coordinate‑free latent spaces from ordinal data using projective geometry to achieve ratio‑scale measurement and resolve identifiability.
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PCMCI+ extends PCMCI to discover contemporaneous causal links in autocorrelated nonlinear time series via optimized conditioning sets.
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Proves asymptotic Gaussianity for heterogeneous spatial autoregressions on sparse graphons, enabling network‑free inference.
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The paper evaluates hybrid GLM, GAM, and deep regression models for spatio‑temporal historical map data.
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Derives activation boundary for weak factors under exchangeable shrinkage prior in sparse Bayesian factor models.
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Constructs uncertainty graphs for distribution‑free predictive ordering with error‑rate control.
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Proposes an oracle weighted neural estimator with minimax optimal rates for high-dimensional nonparametric regression under multisource covariate shift.
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Posterior-landscape extracts and characterizes 2D density features while propagating Bayesian uncertainty across posterior samples.
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Introduces a layered grammar of graphics framework to compose spatial uncertainty visualisations in ggplot2.
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CARED uses randomized expert review to calibrate AI labels and control cumulative error under distribution shift.
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Introduce hybrid hierarchical matrices enabling fast kernel matrix-vector products for Gaussian processes and kernel ridge regression.
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Proposes a hierarchical sparse group recovery method for panel data to jointly identify latent groups and sparse parameters.
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Proposes ensemble null tests to compare multivariate distributions for detecting systematic errors beyond scalar statistics.
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It derives decomposable graphical models from irreversible event accumulation on latent rooted trees, linking cliques to tree edges.
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Constructs joint distributions from marginals and a graph using optimal transport to enforce conditional independence.
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Develops policy learning and off‑policy estimation methods for reinforcement learning with runtime confounding.
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Develops adaptive sequential Bayesian spatio‑temporal surveillance using posterior thresholds and inverse‑probability weighting.
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Sequince provides a modular Python toolkit for building sequential Monte Carlo algorithms with reusable components.
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The paper proposes a Bayesian predictive synthesis using softmax weight models and bias‑adjusted densities, with Pólya‑gamma Metropolis‑Hastings for posterior computation.
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Develops a reference-based multiple imputation framework for longitudinal bounded discrete outcomes using Kumaraswamy margins and Bayesian latent variable augmentation.
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The paper compares confidence-based and random selection for video gait data, assessing measurement error and selection shift effects.
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Provides a computationally efficient infinitesimal-jackknife variance matching method to calibrate generalized posterior learning rates for accurate credible intervals.
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Introduces a variational Bayesian variable selection method with adaptive sharing across populations and responses, scalable to summary data.
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Develops a multi‑scale stochastic framework with likelihood‑free Bayesian calibration and stochastic finite elements to link interfacial variability to panel response.
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The paper proposes a Bayesian dynamic programming policy for MLB challenge decisions using pitch location uncertainty.
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Proposes nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction to improve causal effect estimation with continuous treatments.
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Proposes a self‑normalised change‑point test that stays pivotal under non‑stationary noise.
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Proves optimal expectation bounds for tensor fiber norms using matrix norm comparisons.
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Develops weighted score matching for nonparametric density estimation and interaction graph recovery on bounded domains.
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Introduces nonparametric independence tests for general spatial point processes using characteristic function differences without random shifts.
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TwinPoSI generates statistical twins to enable accurate post‑selection confidence intervals for population‑based regression coefficients.
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Introduces Bregman projection-based partition design to accelerate finite Markov chain mixing.
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We introduce a sparse variational inference method for estimating a latent VAR network from multivariate count time series.
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Jointly optimize interim timing and stopping boundaries to minimize expected sample size under error rate constraints in group sequential trials.
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The paper evaluates a new wins above replacement estimator against existing metrics using historical baseball data.
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Develops a statistical framework to jointly model screening and randomisation and determine adaptive stopping times for clinical trials.
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The paper proposes a taxonomy of reliability and instability mechanisms for LLM-assisted evidence synthesis tasks.
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Evaluates calibration of tabular foundation models versus logistic regression in simulated and clinical risk prediction.
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Modular Bayesian foundation models use uncertainty-guided routing of compact SBNN encoders for efficient time‑series forecasting and OOD detection.
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Develops ordered-gap estimator with direction-specific concentration radii for exact recovery of latent groups from multiview ordinal ranks.
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Optimizes a convex mixed-integer program to identify invariant predictors across multiple environments.
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The paper extends Bayesian discrepancy modeling with a stick‑breaking EPR method for multinomial data to efficiently analyze high‑dimensional land‑water transitions.
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Uses generative AI to compare flood loss reduction from hard versus soft urban infrastructure.
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Introduces Proximal R2 priors that encode structural variance constraints via proximal relaxations, enabling differentiable posterior inference.
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Extends principal‑agent hypothesis testing to sequential settings, characterizing null‑deterring contracts with e‑processes and optimal stopping via Snell envelope.
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DECIDE quantifies individual decision impacts in multiverse analyses without model prediction.
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Introduces Metropolized backward sampling to improve particle Gibbs sampling in state‑space models.
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Integrates multi-source partial graph data via integer programming to reconstruct a global undirected graphical model.
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Estimates a mixed geographically weighted spatial autoregressive model for budget hotels using satellite-derived environmental and transport indicators.
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Evaluates power‑normal distribution for flexible approximation of unimodal positive distributions and provides an accompanying R package.
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The paper introduces an optimal approximation error framework to correct Bayesian posterior bias via adjusted likelihoods.
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The paper introduces a compartment‑driven Gaussian process model for Bayesian uncertainty quantification of pharmacokinetic exposure metrics.
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Develops a robust quadratic score test for mean functions in functional and longitudinal data via convex loss and spline approximation.
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Derives group sequential boundaries for time‑to‑event endpoints using joint combination statistic distribution and numerical integration.
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Evaluates strip trial designs, showing replication drives power and spatial models enhance detection.
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Introduces dual optimization for AIS trajectory simplification, jointly optimizing compression and length error via dynamic programming.
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Introduces a simple sensitivity analysis to assess causal effect robustness from observational data using point estimates and confidence intervals.
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FACTS-MAS provides a multi-agent framework to combine heterogeneous forecasting evidence via weighting and calibration.
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Introduces weight-changing hazard estimator for IPCW survival estimation with improved bias‑variance tradeoff.
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L-PASSO is an adaptive log‑penalized regression method that achieves robust sparse variable selection with provable oracle properties.
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The study shows that few hundred engine games yield unstable opening rankings due to sampling error and draws.
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Provides a tree-based uplift model with certified FWER control for treatment effect claims.
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The paper presents fastC-GC and fastC-GC* algorithms for efficient time‑series graph estimation using ridge‑residual correlation and Fourier‑based shift enumeration.
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Derives uniform 2‑Wasserstein bounds for noisy‑gradient Euler and randomized midpoint Langevin samplers.
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The paper proposes a hierarchical Bayesian mixture model to combine incomplete surveys and estimate galaxy flux distributions.
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Proposes a simulation‑based two‑stage stochastic optimization procedure for model criticism without pre‑specified test statistics.
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The paper creates a unified, deduplicated aviation safety incident dataset from 128 sources.
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Develops an influence-function estimator for marginal mean models with flexible link functions and data-driven sensitivity parameter selection.
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It compares MLE and Bayesian methods for global parameter identification and uncertainty quantification of a reduced-order ADM1 model.
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Introduces folded concave penalties to improve variable selection and prediction in cointegrated regression.
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Anchors e-closure to transparently enhance FDR multiple testing procedures while preserving FDR control.
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Flow matching learns a transport map to generate approximate posterior samples for Bayesian inverse problems with negligible online cost.
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Introduces a global synchronization algorithm for jointly aligning multiple low-rank matrices with missing data.
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We derive debiased estimators for optimal value in RL via softmax‑approximated Bellman fixed points.
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Derives an approximate MSE criterion to select dictionary and penalty for instrumental variables LASSO.
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Develops fast, order‑invariant equation‑by‑equation Bayesian VAR estimation using factor‑structured reduced‑form errors for conditional forecasting and scenario analysis.
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Introduces Bayesian inference for Dirichlet process centering measure and precision via data‑generating model.
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Derives asymptotic theory and corrected standard errors for granular instrumental variables in large panels.
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The paper critiques statistical errors in a forensic analysis of nurse roster charts.
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The paper introduces a panel of large language models treated as raters to measure political positions in data‑sparse regions.
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DEAL provides bias-aware, cross-fitted debiased Lasso intervals that are shorter and more accurate in high-dimensional regression.
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Express converts non-causal attention to causal with matching guarantees, reducing memory and compute costs.
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Derive efficient influence function and doubly robust estimator for functional treatment effects in DiD.
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Introduces a dynamic latent community framework for VAR-type models using co-blockmodel embedding and spectral co-clustering.
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Introduces convolutional MMD for simulation‑based inference with noisy data, enabling robust, likelihood‑free estimation.
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Introduces a stochastic T-process model for real-time win probability and latent player contribution via STATS X.
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Introduces an estimand framework to assess transportability of indirect treatment comparisons in health technology assessment.
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Provides a contribution-adjusted Bayesian meta-analysis framework for subgroup-specific effects and interactions.
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Introduces a Bayesian graphical model linking latent positions to persistent homology bar events for inference.
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Provides closed-form bounds and flexible estimators for the average derivative effect under a sensitivity model for continuous exposures.
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Proposes a Grassmannian gradient descent algorithm for matrix completion with dependent missingness and provides debiased uncertainty quantification.
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Proposes a doubly robust estimator with stabilized weights for binary outcomes in micro-randomized trials.
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WISER uses epidemic change-point modeling to efficiently segment watermarked text regions.
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Introduces a hierarchical Gaussian process prior for covariate-driven Poisson processes with adaptive posterior concentration and MCMC inference.
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Introduces the Same Weighting Across Different Analyses principle for coherent subgroup and interaction meta‑analysis estimates.
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Derives corrected spherical‑Dirichlet density and analyzes its moments, mode, and properties.
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Estimates auxiliary outcomes to correct regression standard errors for spatial correlation.
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Introduces LSVI, a gradient‑free variational inference algorithm based on least‑squares updates.
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Introduces full conformal e-values for distribution‑free novelty detection with provable FDR control.
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Introduces a differentially private weighting estimator for causal effect inference with covariate balance.
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Conditionally calibrates e-values to boost e-BH power while preserving FDR control.
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Introduces robustified modifications of classification metrics to handle class imbalance.
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The paper develops an integrative multiview structural equation model for microbiome-metabolome-disease pathways with theoretical guarantees.
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Estimates optimal policy for dynamic strategy selection via regularized iterated regression in a reinforcement learning framework.
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The paper develops a kernel-based regularized least squares approach for Volterra series modeling and forecasting of time series.
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Derives minimax confidence interval rates for monotone multivariate nonparametric regression under Gaussian errors.